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Leonid meteor storm predicted for early AM tomorrow.

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Old 11-18-2002, 08:30 AM
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Default Leonid meteor storm predicted for early AM tomorrow.

Actually two storm peaks, first over Western Europe, Western Africa, and Atlantic, second over North and Central America 6 1/2 hours later around 10:30 UT, which is 5:30 AM EST and 2:30 PST tomorrow. The Lyytinen model forecasts a zenithal hourly rate (ZHR) of 2,600, while the Ashwer model predicts a ZHR of 3,500. (The ZHR is the number of meteors visible if the radiant were at zenith in a sky dark enough for 6.5 magnitude stars to be seen. Actual conditions are rarely this good.)

Asher-McNaught predict peak at 10:36 UT, while Lyytinen-Van Flandern predict 10:40 UT. The waxing moon will be 18 hours from full, low in the western sky on the Pacific Coast, somewhat brightening the sky. The radiant is to the east, in the constellation Leo, a few degrees below Jupiter.

Try to get a mountain or hill -- or at least a tree or structure -- behind you to the west and look to the east. Forget about telescopes or binoculars. The naked eye offers the widest field of view. Pick a spot where you can sit in a folding chair or recliner and enjoy.
Old 11-18-2002, 08:52 AM
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I should have said get a mountain, hill, structure, or tree behind you to the west to block the moon.

The earth collides head-on with two Leinid dust trails. The first was shed by Comet Tempel-Tuttle in 1767, seven orbital revolutions ago. The second dates from 1866, four revolutions ago.
Old 11-18-2002, 02:06 PM
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Why did I bother to post this -- live and learn.
Old 11-18-2002, 02:11 PM
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thanks for the info, i'm interested in
Old 11-18-2002, 02:21 PM
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Me too, but we are calling for overcast skies , so if you can, GET SOME PICS .
Old 11-18-2002, 03:10 PM
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I saw the Leonids last year. George, do you know if this year is suppose to be better??

It was pretty spectacular last year.
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