.................... oh wait.


holy crap!! epiphany!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!





with what Magician wrote. humbled, and educated.


(while I was posting my rebuttal, I got it. thx Magician for taking the time to eludicate and educate.)

 

I think the easy way to look at this is to take a look at all the possible outcomes. Assuming that magician is right (which he is):

- Let's say you pick door 1 and that door was the correct one. The host shows you an incorrect door, let's say door 2. According to magician, you decided to go for door 3. You lose.

- Let's say you pick door 1 and that door was incorrect (it was door 2). The host shows you door 3. You choose the other door which is door 2. You win.

- Let's say you pick door 1 and that door was incorrect (it was door 3). The host shows you door 2. You choose the other door which is door 3. You win.

Therefore, if you pick the other door, there is a 2/3 chance of winning as opposed to the 1/3 chance of keeping the first door you choose.

 

no. here's what made it clear to me:

if you're picking from 100 doors, the chances of you getting it right are 1-in-100. then Monty narrows it down to just 2 doors, the door you picked and the remaining door on the stage.

well, since the likelihood of you picking the correct door initially are 1-in-100, very likely you picked the wrong door. so when Monty narrows it down to 2 doors (the one you picked, and the one he narrowed it down to) you have a 99% probability that that door contains the car. therefore, pick that door!

in fact, that's why Monty doesn't have more doors on stage. the more doors to choose from, the more likely your first pick was incorrect. everybody would then switch and a vast majority of people would get the car.

 

Ahem.




































Bingo!

 

[QUOTE]Originally posted by tritium_pie
no.

 

However, I do think that "Identification and Mitigation" could be considered a compound act thus making it a singular subject requiring a singular verb .....

 

[QUOTE]Originally posted by MeTh222
I think the easy way to look at this is to take a look at all the possible outcomes.

 

You anarchist!



































How dare you get back on-topic? This is the Off-Topic forum, remember?

By the way, try rewriting the subject as "Identification of risk and mitigation of risk"; clearly this demands the plural verb.

 

I've been right, and I've been wrong.

Right is better.

 

[QUOTE]Originally posted by magician