I think doing that will require cthree to make vast changes to many different templates when he needs to update code. For a site this size, its probably not feasible to do.

 

If you did a "run off" you'll get something like this

B 138 47%
F 86 30%
A 66 23%

Now this isn't perfect. It would be very odd to see anything more than a 15 person shift from this outcome.

The most extreme case with less than a 5% probability SHOULD be

B 123 42%
F 101 35%
A 66 23%


Now just my posting this could cause a shift purely to disprove these numbers

If you want the highest probability of seeing B voted out then you need to go with the top two B & F

Likeliness
5%
B 191 65.9%
F 99 34.1%
90%
B 190 65.7%
F 100 34.3%
95%
B 178 61.5%
F 112 38.5%
90%
B 166 57.4%
F 124 42.6%
5%
B 152 52.4%
F 138 47.6%

In the extremes

5%
B 225 78%
F 65 27%
90%
B 178 62%
F 112 38%
~33%
B 145 50%
F 145 50%
5%
B 118 41%
F 171 59%

Just some stat work I'm bored.

Keep in mind that this is based on the exact same respondents voteing in the "run off" Not taking into account campaining increased awareness or new voters.
There are so many other factors that could contribute to the voting well, you get the idea.

With a n of 290 this poll should pretty much resemble the opinions of the board. If this was a research project I'd pull the sample now and decide rather or not I wanted to do a run off.

 

Wow...

 

If B and F ran.. I think F would win, because all of my votes would go to F since our designs are on the same level of similiarity. I think all my votes are people who like F more than B.

 

And yours is which one?

 

Lets note this. It's proven that your more likely to go for the first one you see that is in anyway one of the best choices. Just to clarify if you see A and its about as good as any of the other "best" you have more than a 70% chance of picking that one. If not and you see and think B is about as good as any of the "best" you'll pick that one. This trend goes on down the line if they are all viewable at the same time! That is why when you perform a real life survey you would randomize what each respondent sees to offset that. Also you would have people "rate" AND "rank" Comparing the average rates with the top ranks. This website isn't made for heavy duty research You'd need CFMC or some other software to pull that off perfectly.

Unless yours is A F couldn't win. Actually even if yours is A F really shouldn't win either. I don't see a similarity between them myself, but I'm blind . Still so the "probability" that all of A would go to F is low. 70% would be the upper level I would bank on which wouldn't be enough to beat B actually you would have to have at least 90% of A to go to F and everyone else to completely NOT follow the trend of B over F. Actually 89% going from A to F would be a tie if not for everyone else. So were talking if only 5 from A pick B then B still wins by a landslide. That doesn't look good. Stats don't lie Doesn't mean everyone that picked anything other than F or B won't pick F and blow B away it just the probability is very very very low. Basically if I was watching this for a client (and the list was randomized) I would be writing my conclusions now that B is the favorite and should be what the client should use.


I'd love to see a run off to find out if these numbers are anywhere near correct!

 

that's true or if it was A and B running, i would choose A easily. i would think others would for the same reason.

 

Will the new site be fixed width or fluid? Most of the designs don't look like they can stretch.

 

Great post man!!!

Your not blind.. its just ride side thinking vs left side thinking