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Old Sep 9, 2008 | 03:51 PM
  #41  
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www.weather.gov is the National Weather Service -- pretty much everyone else bases their forecasts on this information. The NWS always has a link to the National Hurricane Center.
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Old Sep 9, 2008 | 04:04 PM
  #42  
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Originally Posted by Yflyer,Sep 9 2008, 07:51 PM
www.weather.gov is the National Weather Service -- pretty much everyone else bases their forecasts on this information. The NWS always has a link to the National Hurricane Center.
This site has some neat maps from time to time as well:

http://www.wunderground.com/

Check the tropical maps.
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Old Sep 9, 2008 | 04:12 PM
  #43  
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www.noaa.com
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Old Sep 9, 2008 | 04:43 PM
  #44  
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raining all week,and cold...+/-7*C....
Winter is coming,and so is Christmas...

Going to attend S2KCADays,in Lake George.
What king of clothes,should I wear ???
A Canuk ???

-Emil.
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Old Sep 9, 2008 | 05:54 PM
  #45  
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Carmen, noaa.com -> noaa.gov automatically

Unlike the White House crowd, the NOAA people were smart enough to capture all their domains. (For those mystified, whitehouse.gov is where the President lives; whitehouse.com is a place you don't want to visit with kids in the room. Or so I've heard.)

My approach to keeping track of these tropical cyclones is this:

Four times a day, there is new information, sometimes with updates in between.

First, at 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 EDT, the National Hurricane Center posts advisories and other new information here. This year, they're using a very informative map on their opening page, showing existing storms are areas of interest that may turn into something. For storms close to landfall, they provide updated advisories (i.e., warnings) at 0800, 1400, 2000, 0200.

About an hour after that second set of times, the Weather Underground site (on their tropical/hurricane section, like raymo noted) puts up a "spaghetti plot" of various computer model results. NOAA/NHC uses these in their advisories but doesn't post those results publicly. For example, the 0800 model results (posted at Wunderground about 0900) are used in the NHC 1100 advisory. (Lots of other places post these results, too. Google "spaghetti plots.")

Except for the middle of the night things, I watch the progression of the model runs and the advisories based on them. They evolve with time.

When they stop changing a lot, and when the models tend to agree (i.e., the spaghetti isn't spread all over), I pay close attention to what they're saying.

Last Thursday and Friday, I was a little concerned about Ike. But the model & advisory evolution was showing a continuing trend toward the track we've been seeing, and, about Saturday afternoon when things solidified, I stopped worrying. I also sent word out to a bunch of folks at the U to suggest they could ease up on their frantic preparations, to their relief.

In this same sense, Ike's landfall in (probably) Texas is still uncertain, as the forecast track hasn't settled down yet. But if I lived in, say, Corpus Christi, I'd be nervous just now. And if that same track shows up tomorrow afternoon, I'd start boarding up.

Finally, for "regular" weather (especially that out west), I just go to the main National Weather Service page here. They have all the information you'll need. As noted, no one else really has much in the way of additional information; they just plop more fluff down on top of the same data. HPH
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Old Sep 9, 2008 | 06:58 PM
  #46  
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I like the wunderground maps.
easier to play with than the unisys models.
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Old Sep 10, 2008 | 05:14 AM
  #47  
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I'm a little concerned about our Jim in Houston with Ike not knowing which way it will go. I love it when they do those loops and all we can do is watch in awe. You will keep us posted, won't you, Tex?
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Old Sep 10, 2008 | 05:43 AM
  #48  
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^ I think he's in Durango.
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