OK Got it, ....you're guessing but the graphs are pretty cool. So are the caveats.

The plot is fantastic.

Hurricane Prediction



fltsfshr

 

Better get those shutters or plywood ready, looks like it might be an interesting year for people along the coasts!

 

I read that as 30 some pages of gobbledygook guessing with a an admission they have no clue every few pages.

On their best day they are only close 66% of the time and that's using their statistics. I could have said the same thing in one sentence.

I'm guessing and I bet there are going to be some storms.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0sb-7RJ3658


fltsfshr

 

Yeah that's pretty much my take. I wish Doc would weigh in - he's right about half the time.

 

Me too, Raymo. I've been wondering about him.

 

It's almost May. Time to stock up on water, non-perishable food items, fuel, and insurance.