Chevy Volt
Oh. By the way, the EPA might have to change after today's Supreme Court ruling for managing Global Warm.
So GM might not have that much as a choice but to reduce emissions further by bringing the Volt to the market sooner.
According to the ruling, this could be in effect as soon as 3 months. And you know CA will enforce it as soon as possible.
So GM might not have that much as a choice but to reduce emissions further by bringing the Volt to the market sooner.
According to the ruling, this could be in effect as soon as 3 months. And you know CA will enforce it as soon as possible.
Originally Posted by marthafokker,Apr 2 2007, 05:17 PM
...
Battery cost are dropping. The Prius battery in 2004 was supposed to be 5000. They are less than 3000 now for the same battery.
If you can drive an EV for 10 years and replace equilvant KW/hr battery 10 years later. That battery will be probably at 1/10 the cost. So a $15k battery is only $1500 battery. A 10 year old tranny replacement cost about the same.
...
Battery cost are dropping. The Prius battery in 2004 was supposed to be 5000. They are less than 3000 now for the same battery.
If you can drive an EV for 10 years and replace equilvant KW/hr battery 10 years later. That battery will be probably at 1/10 the cost. So a $15k battery is only $1500 battery. A 10 year old tranny replacement cost about the same.
...
Originally Posted by marthafokker,Apr 2 2007, 07:41 PM
I disagree.
Ask the Rav4EV folks. The Rav4EV uses the same battery as the Prius, just more. And they are doing fine with 100k miles on some of them with anywhere from 0% to 100% battery SOC.
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Ask the Rav4EV folks. The Rav4EV uses the same battery as the Prius, just more. And they are doing fine with 100k miles on some of them with anywhere from 0% to 100% battery SOC.
....
Here is what Toyota says:
"In addition to overall customer acceptance, technical issues tied to electric vehicles remain a major hurdle. Industry practice regards batteries to be at the end of their useful life when capacity decreases to 80% of original capacity. A battery's capacity is the amount of charge that it holds, and is commonly measured by the range of the vehicle. It is cost-prohibitive to replace an EV battery. The cost to replace the battery is more than the value of the vehicle."
rockville.
I never say I believe in the GM conspiracy. I just say that GM do not know how to do business. And we should all worry because our tax money is at risk regardless if we are GM supporters or not. If they go down, our tax money will be used to bail out GM's failures... and their employees' retirement pensions.
That EV guy actually has a lot of inside connection with the EV and battery industry. He saw the Tesla before it was anonunced. And test drove some of the EV prototypes, and Fuel Cell cars for that matter.
The next Prius in 2009 is already anounced to use Lithium, so Toyota has enough confidence to go forward. The reason they did not use it on the current one is because Lithium batteries have advanced greatly in the last year or so. DeWalt is using Panasonic's new Lithium battery in their 2007 power tools. And these are the same batteries that will be in the next Prius. The current Prius was release in late 2003. And tooling would probably been planned out way before 2001. So are you saying that Toyota had confidence in 2000 to use Lithium batteries... and Lithium was really started in laptop then?
Do not buy into one recall and say it is bad. If that is the case, then all auto manufacturers are bad and we should never buy them. A123Systems has an YouTube demo of their batteries vs traditional Lithum. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A9ayuFBDrSg
And you are correct. We do not know if the hype with the next gen Batteries are as claimed. The PhoenixMotor Car EV Truck is using it on their EV Truck/SUV. We will know from fleet (and soon consumer sales) if it really works. At least PG&E has stepped up to test them.
Before my wife bought a Prius, I was just like you. Do not believe in EV is ready. And I am wrong. I love an EV now. I just wish my s2000 has crazy torque with EV motors.
I never say I believe in the GM conspiracy. I just say that GM do not know how to do business. And we should all worry because our tax money is at risk regardless if we are GM supporters or not. If they go down, our tax money will be used to bail out GM's failures... and their employees' retirement pensions.
That EV guy actually has a lot of inside connection with the EV and battery industry. He saw the Tesla before it was anonunced. And test drove some of the EV prototypes, and Fuel Cell cars for that matter.
The next Prius in 2009 is already anounced to use Lithium, so Toyota has enough confidence to go forward. The reason they did not use it on the current one is because Lithium batteries have advanced greatly in the last year or so. DeWalt is using Panasonic's new Lithium battery in their 2007 power tools. And these are the same batteries that will be in the next Prius. The current Prius was release in late 2003. And tooling would probably been planned out way before 2001. So are you saying that Toyota had confidence in 2000 to use Lithium batteries... and Lithium was really started in laptop then?
Do not buy into one recall and say it is bad. If that is the case, then all auto manufacturers are bad and we should never buy them. A123Systems has an YouTube demo of their batteries vs traditional Lithum. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A9ayuFBDrSg
And you are correct. We do not know if the hype with the next gen Batteries are as claimed. The PhoenixMotor Car EV Truck is using it on their EV Truck/SUV. We will know from fleet (and soon consumer sales) if it really works. At least PG&E has stepped up to test them.
Before my wife bought a Prius, I was just like you. Do not believe in EV is ready. And I am wrong. I love an EV now. I just wish my s2000 has crazy torque with EV motors.
I don't think you understood much of what I posted.
Just to hit a few points,
Yes, Li-ion batteries were well established for use in laptops as well as cell phones and other devices in 2000. Most of the changes I've seen in Li-ion technology since I worked in the market about 7 years back have been in reducing price. If you are going to claim the Li-ion batteries have made big advances please let me know what they are. Again, all I've seen is big advances in reducing prices. The big reduction in price is one of the reasons you see those batteries in things like cordless drills. It also helps that Motorola helped the Chinese manufactures improve their cell quality. The Japanese manufactures had to reduce their prices accordingly.
You said GM doesn't understand business. Certainly there is evidence to support that claim but canceling the EV1 program is not part of that evidence. The car lost LOTS of money. How can you say it was a bad idea to kill a huge loss leader? How would it be a good business decision to release the Volt if the battery technology isn't ready for use in a regular production car (and all that entails). Hopefully it will be but I've seen no indications that it is currently ready. It certainly is unfair to criticize GM for delaying the release of the Volt until the battery technology is really ready.
Certainly electric fleet vehicles are certainly a good first step. The manufacture can carefully track the vehicle
Just to hit a few points,
Yes, Li-ion batteries were well established for use in laptops as well as cell phones and other devices in 2000. Most of the changes I've seen in Li-ion technology since I worked in the market about 7 years back have been in reducing price. If you are going to claim the Li-ion batteries have made big advances please let me know what they are. Again, all I've seen is big advances in reducing prices. The big reduction in price is one of the reasons you see those batteries in things like cordless drills. It also helps that Motorola helped the Chinese manufactures improve their cell quality. The Japanese manufactures had to reduce their prices accordingly.
You said GM doesn't understand business. Certainly there is evidence to support that claim but canceling the EV1 program is not part of that evidence. The car lost LOTS of money. How can you say it was a bad idea to kill a huge loss leader? How would it be a good business decision to release the Volt if the battery technology isn't ready for use in a regular production car (and all that entails). Hopefully it will be but I've seen no indications that it is currently ready. It certainly is unfair to criticize GM for delaying the release of the Volt until the battery technology is really ready.
Certainly electric fleet vehicles are certainly a good first step. The manufacture can carefully track the vehicle
Originally Posted by cdelena,Apr 3 2007, 07:25 AM
There were only about 1500 RAV4EV's and most of them have been crushed just like the EV1's. Not enough real world experience to draw conclusions from...
Here is what Toyota says:
"In addition to overall customer acceptance, technical issues tied to electric vehicles remain a major hurdle. Industry practice regards batteries to be at the end of their useful life when capacity decreases to 80% of original capacity. A battery's capacity is the amount of charge that it holds, and is commonly measured by the range of the vehicle. It is cost-prohibitive to replace an EV battery. The cost to replace the battery is more than the value of the vehicle."
Here is what Toyota says:
"In addition to overall customer acceptance, technical issues tied to electric vehicles remain a major hurdle. Industry practice regards batteries to be at the end of their useful life when capacity decreases to 80% of original capacity. A battery's capacity is the amount of charge that it holds, and is commonly measured by the range of the vehicle. It is cost-prohibitive to replace an EV battery. The cost to replace the battery is more than the value of the vehicle."
I don't know about anyone else, but that's is major pill to swallow. Now, Priuses aren't likely to be raced around, so maybe it's not a big worry. But when that cost comes along, that car's gettin' dumped REAL fast.
Production economies of scale really need to get worked out so the parts and assembly are cheaper. Things are starting to trend that way but we're still very early on in the process.



